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2 Who Predicted Trump Win Have One More Prediction

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There weren’t that many people who predicted a Donald Trump presidency—and two out of that small number also predicted Trump wouldn’t serve a full term.

  • Allan Lichtman, the Washington, DC-based professor who uses a series of 13 true/false questions to predict the outcome of presidential elections, told the Washington Post in September that he believed a Republican Congress would prefer Mike Pence as president, and would impeach Trump and remove him from office in order to get that result. “I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook,” he said. However, he noted that prediction was “not based on a system; it’s just my gut.” (Disclaimer: Lichtman’s system actually predicts the winner of the popular vote, which Trump did not get.)

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  • Filmmaker Michael Moore also predicted a Trump presidency, then admonished supposedly “shocked” Democrats that they just hadn’t been paying attention. On MSNBC’s Morning Joe Friday, Moore said he doesn’t think Trump will serve a full four years in office, The Week reports. “He has no ideology, except the ideology of Donald J. Trump, and when you have a narcissist like that who is so narcissistic where it’s all about him, he will—maybe unintentionally—break laws,” Moore said. “He will break laws because he’s only thinking about what’s best for him.” He indicated Trump will either be impeached as a result of law-breaking, or will resign.

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