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The Red Shamrock: Overconfidence Kills And Week 11 Picks


The Red Shamrock: Overconfidence Kills And Week 11 Picks

The streak is over. Five winning weeks in a row and then some extra bragging by me in last week’s column, then bam, win streak over. I knew not to get cocky, but I did. I know statistically, I should be around 50% for the year, but dam it, I was climbing steady for five straight weeks. FIVE! This got me to thinking about a few teams or people who were overconfident and it killed them (condensed list).

Super Bowl III Jets over Colts

The third AFL-NFL Championship game and the first to be named Super Bowl. The 13-1 Baltimore Colts were favored to win by 18 against the 11-3 NY Jets. 18 points! Oddsmakers and sports writers just didn’t believe in the AFL. Broadway Joe would prove them wrong by leading the Jets to a 16 – 7 win.

joe-namath-sizes-suzy-kolber1Only Suzy Kolber ever publicly stopped Broadway Joe

Buster Douglas over Mike Tyson

If you were born after 1990, then you probably don’t remember James Buster Douglas. And you probably only know Mike Tyson from the hangover or Mike Tyson Mysteries on Cartoon network. Tyson was the dominant heavyweight of the error, undefeated going in (against boxers, courts on the other hand…) and just a total badass. All but one US casino gave odds for the fight, and that casino had Douglas as a 42/1 underdog. History was made in Tokyo on February 11, 1990 as Douglas knocked out Tyson to become champion of the world (and immediately lost to Evander Holyfield in his only title defense that October).

Not pictured, Tyson looking for a dictionary after this knockout

Super Bowl XLII Giants over Patriots

Probably my favorite upset of all time. New England went 16-0 during the regular season (beating the Giants in week 17 38 – 35 at Giants Stadium), and beat the Jaguars (they are good every now and then) and the Chargers to advance to the 2008 Super Bowl with an 18-0 record and looking to be the first ever 19-0 team and first undefeated team to win the Super Bowl since the 1972 Miami Dolphins. The Giants were just happy to be there and I remember the hype around that week 17 matchup was as big as the Super Bowl. The Patriots were favored by 12, but were struggling against the Giants during the game who were playing from behind. Tyree had caught a touchdown pass earlier in game and in the 4th, the play that lead to me screaming my head off lead to four more plays and a winning touchdown grab by Plaxico Burress for the biggest upset ever in my mind.

This lead to the game winner. BTW, Tyree’s career stats: 54 receptions, 650 yds and 4 TDs

2016 US Presidential Election: Turd Sandwich over Giant Douche

1rgvmgp1 Really, this one needs no explanation

What were some of sports or histories biggest upsets? Let me know in the comments section and enjoy the week 11 picks.

Week 11 Picks (home teams in caps)


Steelers -9


Jaguars +7



Buccaneers +7.5



Dolphins -1.5

49ERS +14

Eagles -7



Last week: 5-9-0

Season record: 72-68-7 (.514)

Pat Himes aka The Red Shamrock is a huge fan of sports, movies, poker, and fake sports betting. He is also cohost of The 80/20 Movie Show podcast with Gary Smith, which you can listen to for guy humor, movie reviews, and additional fake sports betting picks at You can interact with Pat on Chaostrophic by hitting him up on the comments section with him on the threads under his handle, Dalux247.

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